Insights & Publications

Futures research and capacity-building for decision-making under uncertainty—methods design, signals, scenarios, and decision support.

• Popper, R., Villarroel, Y. and Popper, R.W. (2025) ‘Towards a Sustainable Disruptive Growth Model: Integrating Foresight, Wild Cards and Weak Signals Analysis’, Foresight and STI Governance, 19(1), pp. 32–49.
• Popper, R. and Towpik, M. (2024) Frontier Visions for More Resilient Research and Innovation Futures: Strategic Pathways for a Cohesive and Sustainable EU in FP10 (CFI Working Paper Series No. 2024/01). Warsaw: Technology Partners.
• Andersen, P.D., Bevolo, M., Ilevbare, I., Malliaraki, E., Popper, R. and Spaniol, M.J. (2023) Technology Foresight for Public Funding of Innovation: Methods and Best Practices. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. doi:10.2760/759692 (JRC134544).
• Velasco, G., Popper, R. and Miles, I. (2021) ‘Repositioning People in Creative Futures: A Method to Create Sound Advice with Exploratory Scenarios’, Foresight and STI Governance, 15(2), pp. 25–38.
• Popper, R. (2011) ‘Wild cards and weak signals informing and shaping research and innovation policy’, Proceedings of the 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis, Seville, 12–13 May 2011.
• Popper, R. (2008) ‘How are foresight methods selected?’, Foresight, 10(6), pp. 62–89.

Technology transition insight and readiness—anticipating emerging technologies, linking tech to societal needs, and strengthening skills and adoption conditions.

• Zhou, X., Dong, L., Dziendzikowski, M., Dragan, K., Giglio, M., Sbarufatti, C. (2025) ‘Real-time in-service load tracking toward airframe digital twins’, AIAA Journal, pp. 1–14.
• Janocha, M.J., Ong, M.C., Lee, C.F., Chen, K. and Ye, N. (2024) ‘Reference Power Cable Models for Floating Offshore Wind Applications’, Sustainability, 16(7), 2899. 
• Sobociński, M., Synaszko, P., Dragan, K. and Kotowski, J. (2024) ‘Building a CAD-native digital twin for NDT and PLM: workflow, tools, and case study’, Fatigue of Aircraft Structures.
• Popper, R. (2023) ‘The role of horizon scanning in anticipating and monitoring emerging technologies and disruptive innovations’, in Vesnic-Alujevic, L., Farinha, J. and Polvora, A. (eds.) Technology Foresight for Public Funding of Innovation: Methods and Best Practices. Brussels/Luxembourg: European Commission/Publications Office of the EU, pp. 48–58.
• Janocha, M.J., Ong, M.C. and Yin, G. (2022) ‘Large eddy simulations and modal decomposition analysis of flow past a cylinder subject to flow-induced vibration’, Physics of Fluids, 34(4). 
• Heesch, M., Dziendzikowski, M., Mendrok, K. and Dworakowski, Z. (2022) ‘Diagnostic-quality guided wave signals synthesized using generative adversarial neural networks’, Sensors, 22(10), 3848. 
• Katunin, A., Dragan, K., Nowak, T. and Chalimoniuk, M. (2021) ‘Quality control approach for the detection of internal lower density areas in composite disks in industrial conditions based on a combination of NDT techniques’, Sensors, 21(21), 7174.
• Janocha, M.J. and Ong, M.C. (2021) ‘Vortex-induced vibrations of piggyback pipelines near the horizontal plane wall in the upper transition regime’, Marine Structures, 75, 102872. 
• Dziendzikowski, M., Kurnyta, A., Reymer, P., Kurdelski, M., Klysz, S., Leski, A. et al. (2021) ‘Application of operational load monitoring system for fatigue estimation of main landing gear attachment frame of an aircraft’, Materials, 14(21), 6564. 
• Popper, R., Rilla, N., Myllyoja, J., Helin, K., Salo, S., Rischer, H., Alakomi, H.-L., Kiviniemi, J., Tsitko, I., Komonen, P., Bohner, E., Pinomaa, T., Tuikka, T., Szilvay, G., Nagy, J., Al Hashimi, K., Al Kaissi, T., Al Amiri, A., Al Mohammad, M., Al Shehhi, H., Al Hajeri, S. and Al Shamsi, F. (2020) Towards a Roadmap for Future UAE Deep Space Missions and the Sustainable Settlement of Humans on Mars: White Paper. VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland.
• Popper, R. and Loikkanen, T. (2019) The Future of Work and Skills in ETF Partner Countries. ETF Issues Paper. European Training Foundation.
• Dziendzikowski, M., Niedbala, P., Kurnyta, A., Kowalczyk, K. and Dragan, K. (2018) ‘Structural health monitoring of a composite panel based on PZT sensors and a transfer impedance framework’, Sensors, 18(5), 1521. 
• Dziendzikowski, M., Kurnyta, A., Dragan, K., Klysz, S. and Leski, A. (2016) ‘In situ Barely Visible Impact Damage detection and localization for composite structures using surface mounted and embedded PZT transducers: A comparative study’, Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 78, pp. 91–106. 
• Katunin, A., Dragan, K. and Dziendzikowski, M. (2015) ‘Damage identification in aircraft composite structures: A case study using various non-destructive testing techniques’, Composite Structures, 127, pp. 1–9. 
• Blackman, C., Brown, I., Cave, J., Forge, S., Guevara, K., Srivastava, L., Tsuchiya, M. and Popper, R. (2010) Towards a Future Internet: Interrelation between Technological, Social and Economic Trends. Brussels: European Commission.
• Popper, R. and Miles, I. (2005) The FISTERA Delphi: Future Challenges, Applications and Priorities for Socially Beneficial Information Society Technologies. Manchester: University of Manchester.

Sustainable innovation governance and measurement—frameworks, indicators, and decision playbooks that make transitions credible, comparable, and investable.

• Popper, R., Popper, M., Velasco, G., Martini, M. and Rizzo, A. (2026) ‘A Hundred and Fifty Shades of Green: A Foresight-Driven Playbook for Sustainable Innovation Governance’, Foresight and STI Governance, 20(1), pp. 9x–9y. doi:10.17323/fstig.2025.29768.
• Popper, M., Popper, R., Rapetti, C.A. and Pique, J.M. (2025) ‘Integrating policy agendas for sustainable innovation: a quadruple helix approach to the European Green Deal and sustainability transitions’, Engineering Management in Production and Services, 17(2), pp. 1–22. doi:10.2478/emj-2025-0009.
• Beier, D., Ong, M.C., Janocha, M.J. and Ye, N. (2024) ‘Application of suspended inter-array power cables in floating offshore wind farms’, Applied Ocean Research, 147, 103991. 
• Beier, D., Janocha, M.J., Ye, N. and Ong, M.C. (2024) ‘Fatigue assessment of suspended inter-array power cables for floating offshore wind turbines’, Engineering Structures, 308, 118007. 
• Martini, M., Holsgens, R. and Popper, R. (eds) (2020) Governance and Management of Sustainable Innovation: Learning from Experience to Shape the Future. Cham: Springer.
• Popper, R., Popper, M. and Velasco, G. (2020) ‘Sustainable innovation assessment and management framework: principles, methodology and practice’, in Martini, M., Holsgens, R. and Popper, R. (eds.) Governance and Management of Sustainable Innovation: Learning from Experience to Shape the Future. Springer, pp. 3–39.
• Pajula, T. and Popper, R. (2020) ‘Towards a Hybrid Framework for Sustainable Innovation’, in Martini, M., Holsgens, R. and Popper, R. (eds.) Governance and Management of Sustainable Innovation: Learning from Experience to Shape the Future. Springer, pp. 199–205.
• Wronkowicz, A., Dragan, K. and Lis, K. (2018) ‘Assessment of uncertainty in damage evaluation by ultrasonic testing of composite structures’, Composite Structures, 203, pp. 71–84. 
• Popper, R., Popper, M. and Velasco, G. (2017) CASI-F: Common Framework for the Assessment and Management of Sustainable Innovation. CASI project report.
• Dragan, K., McGugan, M., Klimaszewski, S., Uhl, T., Sorensen, B.F., Borum, K.K. et al. (2010) ‘Structural integrity monitoring of wind turbine composite blades with the use of NDE and SHM approach’, Fifth European Workshop on Structural Health Monitoring. 

Knowledge transfer, ecosystem orchestration, and venture/investment pathways—turning research outcomes into adoption and scalable value.

• Popper, R. (2025) Shaping the future of an African VC landscape. Foresight Brief Series (Innovation and Entrepreneurship Alliance). International Telecommunication Union.
• Popper, R. and Popper, M. (2024) Action Roadmaps for More Resilient Research and Innovation Futures: Strategic Pathways to Foresight-Driven and Sustainable R&I Policies in FP10 (CFI Working Paper Series No. 2024/02). Warsaw: Technology Partners.
• Lehenkari, J., Olesiak, M., Pęcsek, T., Oksanen, J., Dönitz, E., Loikkanen, T., Sarvaranta, L. and Popper, R. (2022) Towards a Single Knowledge Transfer (KT) Strategy for the Łukasiewicz Research Network. 1KTS4Lukasiewicz project.
• Lehenkari, J. and Popper, R. (2022) Empowering and mobilising the Łukasiewicz Research Network and other research and innovation players… A Call for Strategic Actions: Towards a Single Knowledge Transfer (KT) Strategy for the Łukasiewicz Research Network. 1KTS4Lukasiewicz project.
• Popper, R., Bhatia, R., Myllyoja, J., Lehenkari, J., Bäck, A., Stahlecker, T., Zenker, A., Dönitz, E., Hansmeier, H., Olesiak, M., Pęcsek, T., Gajek, A., Mańkowska, M., Naudeer, A. and Holmes, N. (2021) Fostering Knowledge Transfer in Poland, Europe and the World. 1KTS4Lukasiewicz project.
• Popper, R., Edler, J., Velasco, G. and Amanatidou, E. (2015b) Evolving Dimensions of the European Research and Innovation Landscape. Policy Brief for the EC-funded project VERA on Visions for the European Research Area. University of Manchester.

Reference works that standardise concepts and methods, and support futures capacity-building worldwide.

• Georghiou, L., Cassingena Harper, J., Keenan, M., Miles, I. and Popper, R. (2011) Manual de prospectiva tecnológica: conceptos y práctica. Mexico: FLACSO.
• Popper, R. and Teichler, T. (2011) Practical Guide to Mapping Forward-Looking Activities: Practices, Players and Outcomes. Brussels: European Foresight Platform.
• Popper, R. (2009) Mapping Foresight: Revealing How Europe and Other World Regions Navigate into the Future. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.
• Georghiou, L., Cassingena Harper, J., Keenan, M., Miles, I. and Popper, R. (2008) The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practice. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
• Keenan, M.P. and Popper, R. (2007) RIF – Research Infrastructure Foresight: Practical Guide for Integrating Foresight in Research Infrastructures Policy Formulation. Luxembourg: European Commission.
• Popper, R., Keenan, M., Miles, I., Butter, M. and Sainz, G. (2007) Global Foresight Outlook. Luxembourg: European Commission.